Terra Vita

The Governance Drift

A Terra Vita Governance Failure Simulation
L2 · Institutional simulation
Deliberation clock --:--
Built on the Terra Vita evidence discipline: attribution · reconstruction · governance

Will the evidence survive governance drift?

Your task

Issue a defensible committee decision when governance itself drifts.

You sit on a multi-agency disbursement committee. The evidence is strong and the chain is intact — but reviewers disagree on standards, a senior authority is pushing for an outcome, continuity has broken between cycles, and the route is under political pressure. The numbers hold; the governance does not.

Decide what survives, what requires validation, and what cannot be used.

This is a simulation.· No real data.· No subject knowledge required — this is about institutional discipline.
Mandate

You are serving on the Joint Disbursement Committee of a blended-finance facility co-funded by a development finance institution, a national Ministry of Agriculture, and a philanthropic foundation. The decision before you is whether to approve, withhold, or partially release the €18M Tranche 3 disbursement against the Mid-Term Evidence Pack.

Your mandate is not to judge whether the programme is desirable, strategic, popular, or aligned with any actor’s institutional priorities. It is to determine what survives governance drift, what requires validation, and what cannot be used.

Do not discuss desirability, politics, or strategic value — stay strictly within mandate.

The evidence is strong and the chain is intact — but if governance drifts off the mandate, the decision cannot be defended at audit, regardless of how strong the indicator appears.

Governance failure modes

Four failure modes determine whether a decision stays defensible when governance drifts.

01 / Drift

Mandate vs. decision

Deciding on desirability

The committee begins to decide on whether the outcome is desirable instead of whether the evidence meets the threshold.

Question: Where has the committee left its mandate?
02 / Interference

Authority override

A senior actor pushes

A senior actor presses for an outcome that contradicts, or steps over, what the evidence supports.

Question: What part of the decision is now politically contaminated?
03 / Discontinuity

Break in reviewer lineage

Continuity lost

New reviewers cannot reconstruct prior decisions or the standards behind them.

Question: What can no longer be defended because continuity broke?
04 / Ambiguity

Competing interpretations

Two routes, two conclusions

Two governance routes produce incompatible conclusions from the same record.

Question: Which route is defensible under audit?
Facilitator note

Run solo or as a committee that votes. Set up the session, read the mandate (3 min), classify the governance pack (10 min), debate & vote (10–15 min, optionally on the clock), then trigger the Audit Reveal. ~20–40 min. No subject knowledge required — this is about institutional discipline.

Comparison board
Classify every item before you deliberate — no skipping.
S·0 · Session setup

Convene the committee

Choose how the room decides, set the clock, then open the governance file.

1
Read the mandate · 3 min
Understand your responsibility and the decision boundary.
2
Classify the governance pack · 10 min
Tag each item Survives, Requires validation, or Cannot be used.
3
Debate & vote · 10–15 min
Optionally run on the clock.
4
Trigger the Audit Reveal
Compare your decision to what survives governance drift.
Decision mode
Solo committee
You are the chair and the room. One verdict, on the record.
Committee vote
Members vote per resolution. Majority carries · chair breaks ties.
Deliberation clock
Off
10 min
15 min
20 min

A visible countdown runs through the evidence & decision phases — decisions under time pressure.

The file on the table
Programme — Tranche 3 mid-term disbursement
A 10-item governance pack (G1–G10): committee minutes, reviewer actions, an authority override, drift points, continuity breaks and ambiguous standards — strong underlying evidence, unstable governance. Open the file and classify what survives governance drift.
S·II · Governance pack

Classify all 10 items

0 / 10 classified
▣ SURVIVES — within mandate, attribution & lineage intact ◈ VALIDATE — recoverable via documentation, route choice, or ring-fence ✕ CANNOT USE — contaminated, unreconstructable, or out of mandate
R · The resolution

Issue the committee's decision

One decision, on the record. The audit will test it against what the evidence can actually support after reconstruction.

Resolution A

Approve as presented

Release Tranche 3 in full at the proposed terms. The performance claims are taken at face value.

Resolution B

Approve on surviving evidence

Release only the portion supported by surviving and validated items; contaminated and unreconstructable items excluded on the record; the un-evidenced district ring-fenced.

Resolution C

Partial / withhold

Release the clean portion; withhold funds tied to missed milestones and the unresolved data gap, pending validation.

Resolution D

Defer

Send back. No defensible case until governance is realigned and the file is re-presented.

A · Audit reveal

The decision, tested against the mandate

0
/ 10 correctly classified
Mandate accuracy

Record-by-record findings

The debrief question that turns the game into governance training. Captured in the minutes.

F · Facilitator comparison board

Breakout groups, side by side

The teaching moment is the spread: the same broken chain, different calls, different audit fates. Add this device's group, or paste a group code exported from another room.

No groups recorded yet. Run an audit and press “Add this group to the board”.
The audit reveal is the only score that matters.